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IGotHairyLegsThat 3 points ago +3 / -0

Why are there still so many Liberal voters?

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CanadianRighty 5 points ago +5 / -0

Because low information boomers, ultra high levels of public employment and giveaways, and flooding the country with immigrants aka liberal voters

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IGotHairyLegsThat 2 points ago +2 / -0

The immigrant part makes sense to me, but I still don’t understand why Atlantic Canada always seems to vote majority Liberal. What the fuck is going on over there?

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CanadianRighty 1 point ago +1 / -0

They fall under the giveaway bucket.

They're institutionally reliant on wealth transfers to stay afloat.

They're basically the welfare-bum provinces of Canada, of course they're going to vote Liberal.

Also the Liberals aren't flooding Atlantic with immigrants, as that might actually get them to flip.

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CanadianRighty 3 points ago +3 / -0

Half of them will flip when push comes to shove

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Ham_Sandwich77 [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yeah it's known fact that minor parties usually overpoll because a segment of the minor party's supporters will to tell a pollster they're voting for the minor party, but then come to their senses in the polling booth and decide at the last minute not to throw their votes away.

The PPC's polling average the day before the 2019 election was 3.0%. They ended up with 1.6% of the actual vote.

The PPC's polling average the day before the 2021 election was 7.0%. They ended up with 3.3% of the actual vote.

So with weak CPC leaders like Scheer and O'Toole, you could expect the PPC's actual results to be about half of what their polling numbers predicted.

I imagine they'll get even a smaller ratio with PP as leader.

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CanadianRighty 4 points ago +4 / -0

Yea that was me with Scheer.

Then I followed through and picked Bernier over the Tool.

This time Poilievre has me fully back in.

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Ham_Sandwich77 [S] 1 point ago +3 / -2

Unfortunately there's still 4% of the electorate who call themselves "conservatives" but who are hell-bent on keeping Trudeau in office.

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CanadianRighty 2 points ago +2 / -0

I’m far more right wing aka “conservative” than the centre of the CPC.

I also would prefer if PPC didn’t exist at the moment, but if the CPC goes back to where O’Toole had it, I’ll be voting Bernier again.

Besides, by my calculations more Trudeau = a higher chance of an independent Alberta. I’d pay everything I’ve earned so far for that.