I don't know. We don't even know if he intends to run. There could be also scenarios like Rempel vs. Poilievre battling it out in the West while MacKay is gobbling up points in the East and in the end winning it. Last time everyone said that MacKay will win it without a problem, but that wasn't the case. There can be always surprises with a ranked ballot system. And the CPC changes the rules at the last convention. Rural ridings with less than 100 voting CPC members have less weight this time.
I don't know. We don't even know if he intends to run. There could be also scenarios like Rempel vs. Poilievre battling it out in the West while MacKay is gobbling up points in the East and in the end winning it. Last time everyone said that MacKay will win it without a problem, but that wasn't the case.