We have seen a stronger correlation with seasonality and case numbers than we have with masks. So far, it is the strongest correlation factor we have with regards to infection.
Our government is saying that widespread distribution will be around April, when one million doses per week will arrive in the country
This will coincide with the seasonality of the virus
Reduction in case numbers will be attributed to the efficacy of the vaccine
Similarly, now they’re saying that previous infection provides immunity for about 5 months before you can be reinfected again. I see no reason the vaccine would provide superior long term immunity
We’ll see case numbers rise again toward the winter of 2021, it’ll be attributed to waning immunity, you’ll need your booster shot. Society will be blamed for insufficient uptake of the vaccine.
I fear the cycle will go on forever
Theoretically the mRNA vaccine can create more accurate antibodies than a traditional immune response, but we won't have that data until most of the population is vaccinated.
I'm cautiously optimistic here, because the alternative means a shortened life span for everyone. If we can't stop this thing, we will be seeing significantly higher incidences of lung, heart, and neurological damage in the long term.