If 70% of the tests are false positives, that would shrink the denominator (cases) by 70% and therefore increase the case fatality rate of SARS-CoV-2 by 233%. Which would mean the virus is more lethal. I don't believe SARS-CoV-2 is very lethal.
I think it's far more likely that infections are far more prevalent than the actual confirmed cases and that this is a fairly weak virus for the vast majority of the population. While there are a lot of neurotic lunatics going to get tested, there are a lot of people with mild to no symptoms who refuse to get tested as well.
A PCR test run at 40x may catch old dead virus of people who were infected at some point. But it's not going to catch influenza (completely different virus class) or the cold (only 15% of colds are caused by coronaviruses. And the PCR test looks for a very specific genetic sequence unique to SARS-CoV-2, not all members of the CoV family). But beyond that, I'm pretty confident that this is fairly widespread just like the flu and cold used to be before they mostly disappeared off the face of the earth. Viruses compete with each other for hosts. It's normal for a dominant strain to win out over the others. Just like when a black person has a baby with a white person, the dominant black genes are more prominent in the phenotype.
The all-cause mortality data from Statscan in Ontario and Quebec shows that there was a significant spike in all-cause mortality in April and May. In one week in April there was a +24% increase in all-cause deaths year-to-year. So there is reason to believe there is a virulent bug going around. It's just not the Spanish Flu that the media makes it out to be. And this virus is only really potent for a minority of elderly and immuno-compromised people. Even most 90+ year olds won't need to go to the hospital. But it's potent enough to make a noticeable difference in the all-cause mortality stats and the ICU and acute care admissions.
I understand the anti-lockdowner instinct towards testing because positive tests are used as a justification to lockdown by the media, "the science" and government. But the truth is SARS-CoV-2 is circulating in society. It's just not as potent as the media, "the science" and government make it out to be.
24% year to year in that particular week is not the same as up 24% from the previous week. And it wasn't just that one week that saw a significant year-to-year spike. It was all of April-June that saw significant year-to-year spikes.
The statistics are available on https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1310081001. They have all-cause statistics and breakdowns on specific causes of death statscan.
Here is some Excel data for weekly all-cause mortality from January-June 2018-2020 in Ontario.
You look at dat increase in all-cause deaths from April-June 2019 to April-June 2020 year-to-year and you tell me there isn't a virulent bug going around. When April-June 2020 was when the COVID deaths were coming in.
https://i.imgur.com/N9eg7Dl.png
This bug is definitely more potent for elderly and immuno-compromised people. It's just not what the media makes it out to be. The media has my dad (72) believing that his immune system is going to over-react to this virus and kill him. Even though the CFR% for his age group (70-79) in Peel is 4%. And the IFR% is undoubtedly lower than that. And it has dropped significantly compared to the days when we barely did any testing. From Sept 23 2020-Jan 22 2021 (when we were doing lots of testing), the CFR% for his age group was only 1.82% during that period. The hospitalization rate (mostly acute care, very little ICU) was 10.14%.
People with mild to no symptoms often never bother getting tested. So it's dishonest when the media conflates CFR% with IFR% and CHR% with IHR%. I suspect a lot of old people especially never bother to get tested if they have mild symptoms. Because they assume it's just a cold or a flu or allergies. Because they think that COVID has a 100% hospitalization rate for old people because they get their information from the liberal mainstream media. They don't download .csvs from Ontario.ca and statscan and create pivot tables with rolling averages and charts like an autist such as myself.
Suicide deaths are actually down in 2020. I showed you the statscan link to the raw data. Go take a look. Facts don't care about your feelings. You want this to be a weak virus so badly. But it actually is significantly stronger than the flu. It's weak for the vast majority of people. But for people 65+ and immuno-compromised, it's significantly more lethal than the flu. I just don't think it's anywhere near as strong enough to justify lockdowns.
If 70% of the tests are false positives, that would shrink the denominator (cases) by 70% and therefore increase the case fatality rate of SARS-CoV-2 by 233%. Which would mean the virus is more lethal. I don't believe SARS-CoV-2 is very lethal.
I think it's far more likely that infections are far more prevalent than the actual confirmed cases and that this is a fairly weak virus for the vast majority of the population. While there are a lot of neurotic lunatics going to get tested, there are a lot of people with mild to no symptoms who refuse to get tested as well.
A PCR test run at 40x may catch old dead virus of people who were infected at some point. But it's not going to catch influenza (completely different virus class) or the cold (only 15% of colds are caused by coronaviruses. And the PCR test looks for a very specific genetic sequence unique to SARS-CoV-2, not all members of the CoV family). But beyond that, I'm pretty confident that this is fairly widespread just like the flu and cold used to be before they mostly disappeared off the face of the earth. Viruses compete with each other for hosts. It's normal for a dominant strain to win out over the others. Just like when a black person has a baby with a white person, the dominant black genes are more prominent in the phenotype.
The all-cause mortality data from Statscan in Ontario and Quebec shows that there was a significant spike in all-cause mortality in April and May. In one week in April there was a +24% increase in all-cause deaths year-to-year. So there is reason to believe there is a virulent bug going around. It's just not the Spanish Flu that the media makes it out to be. And this virus is only really potent for a minority of elderly and immuno-compromised people. Even most 90+ year olds won't need to go to the hospital. But it's potent enough to make a noticeable difference in the all-cause mortality stats and the ICU and acute care admissions.
I understand the anti-lockdowner instinct towards testing because positive tests are used as a justification to lockdown by the media, "the science" and government. But the truth is SARS-CoV-2 is circulating in society. It's just not as potent as the media, "the science" and government make it out to be.
24% year to year in that particular week is not the same as up 24% from the previous week. And it wasn't just that one week that saw a significant year-to-year spike. It was all of April-June that saw significant year-to-year spikes. The statistics are available on https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1310081001. They have all-cause statistics and breakdowns on specific causes of death statscan.
Here is some Excel data for weekly all-cause mortality from January-June 2018-2020 in Ontario.
You look at dat increase in all-cause deaths from April-June 2019 to April-June 2020 year-to-year and you tell me there isn't a virulent bug going around. When April-June 2020 was when the COVID deaths were coming in. https://i.imgur.com/N9eg7Dl.png
This bug is definitely more potent for elderly and immuno-compromised people. It's just not what the media makes it out to be. The media has my dad (72) believing that his immune system is going to over-react to this virus and kill him. Even though the CFR% for his age group (70-79) in Peel is 4%. And the IFR% is undoubtedly lower than that. And it has dropped significantly compared to the days when we barely did any testing. From Sept 23 2020-Jan 22 2021 (when we were doing lots of testing), the CFR% for his age group was only 1.82% during that period. The hospitalization rate (mostly acute care, very little ICU) was 10.14%.
People with mild to no symptoms often never bother getting tested. So it's dishonest when the media conflates CFR% with IFR% and CHR% with IHR%. I suspect a lot of old people especially never bother to get tested if they have mild symptoms. Because they assume it's just a cold or a flu or allergies. Because they think that COVID has a 100% hospitalization rate for old people because they get their information from the liberal mainstream media. They don't download .csvs from Ontario.ca and statscan and create pivot tables with rolling averages and charts like an autist such as myself.
Suicide deaths are actually down in 2020. I showed you the statscan link to the raw data. Go take a look. Facts don't care about your feelings. You want this to be a weak virus so badly. But it actually is significantly stronger than the flu. It's weak for the vast majority of people. But for people 65+ and immuno-compromised, it's significantly more lethal than the flu. I just don't think it's anywhere near as strong enough to justify lockdowns.