Vote projection as of 28 Feb. Liberals lead by 3.6%
(i.imgur.com)
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This is because O'toole sucks. He's demoralized his own base and he can't win over people outside of the CPC base either. O'toole is quickly becoming a Biden, where his own side hates him and nearly his entire voter base only will be voting for him to get rid of Trudeau. This didn't work out well for Scheer, and looks like it won't work for O'toole. You can't just simply be 'anti-Trudeau', you actually have to stand for something to win over voters. You also need a personality that doesn't come off as a fake politician. O'toole is 10% less bland than Scheer but still no charisma, and has that fake attitude about him.
This is correct. O'Toole's biggest fault right now is that he has zero message. All his ads are "Meet Erin O'Toole's sleeves that used to be in the air force", or just "Trudeau sucks! Vote O'Toole". None of his messaging actually offers any concrete alternatives. And they're extremely soft on Trudeau. It's as if he's being paid by the Liberals to lose.
Because the PPC have zero chance of ever winning and kicking Trudeau out of office.