So covid19 models aren't supposed to accurately predict anything?
(media.omegacanada.win)
You're viewing a single comment thread. View all comments, or full comment thread.
Comments (8)
sorted by:
Quite possible. Anyone who knows anything about modelling can tell you that in most situations, the preparers pick the answer they want, and then choose the inputs/assumptions they need to get to their answer.
That’s why you need to back-test models. Back-testing is checking to see, using foresight, whether the models actually predicted anything.
Modelling is the new Tarot card reading or astrology being purported by snake-oil salesmen wearing lab coats.