Our scientists had decades to study coronaviruses. While this is a novel coronavirus, I have to imagine scientists would have an idea of how transmission of coronaviruses work. Theresa Tam even said early on that it wasn't necessary to quarantine non-symptomatic travelers from Wuhan.
I've read some pretty scary shit about 2003 SARS and that shit basically just vanished into thin air. The scientists don't know shit about these viruses.
From what we understand, this coronavirus is basically 2019 SARS. It's labelled SARS-CoV-2 officially. But it's a more "hearty" and contagious strain of SARS. But also a less severe and lethal strain of SARS. And it's transmitted via respiratory droplets just like the other coronaviruses. A virus needs to have a sweet spot of heartiness/contagion and severity/lethality for it to become a pandemic. 2003 SARS was too severe and lethal and not hearty/contagious enough. The seasonal flu is fairly contagious but not severe or lethal enough to be a pandemic. The 1918 H1N1 had the worst combination of any virus. Agility, durability and knockout power. And the Black Death of any plague. The 2009 H1N1 was too weak to be a true pandemic even though WHO called it a pandemic.
Our scientists had decades to study coronaviruses. While this is a novel coronavirus, I have to imagine scientists would have an idea of how transmission of coronaviruses work. Theresa Tam even said early on that it wasn't necessary to quarantine non-symptomatic travelers from Wuhan.
I've read some pretty scary shit about 2003 SARS and that shit basically just vanished into thin air. The scientists don't know shit about these viruses.
From what we understand, this coronavirus is basically 2019 SARS. It's labelled SARS-CoV-2 officially. But it's a more "hearty" and contagious strain of SARS. But also a less severe and lethal strain of SARS. And it's transmitted via respiratory droplets just like the other coronaviruses. A virus needs to have a sweet spot of heartiness/contagion and severity/lethality for it to become a pandemic. 2003 SARS was too severe and lethal and not hearty/contagious enough. The seasonal flu is fairly contagious but not severe or lethal enough to be a pandemic. The 1918 H1N1 had the worst combination of any virus. Agility, durability and knockout power. And the Black Death of any plague. The 2009 H1N1 was too weak to be a true pandemic even though WHO called it a pandemic.