Ontario: Was the curve flattened? I made a chart, you decide.
(media.omegacanada.win)
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Is it 10,000 available beds or total beds? Since there are people who get hospitalized for things other than COVID.
ICU headroom used % is the magical metric for COVID hospitalizations. https://covidactnow.org/
ICU Headroom Used % = COVID ICU hospitalizations / (Total ICU beds - Non-COVID ICU beds occupied)
Acute care (non-ICU) headroom used % is also important too to a lesser extent.
If i remember correctly the hospitals were reserving bed strictly to deal with covid, and were canceling surgeries and other non-critical hospitalizations to keep them open
I've read that Ontario has approximately 32,000 hospital beds total across the province. MPP Randy Hillier said the same thing.
We've all been had.
It likely did at first but has since become the power grab of the decade.
Case numbers and positivity rates are used to project future hospitalizations. Hence why it's important to test and report mild and asymptomatic cases. The problem is the media sensationalism of these manlet case numbers. "158 new cases in Ontario! Oh la la!" (Meanwhile Ontario has 14.8 million fucking people!) Ontario's case load is nowhere close to overwhelming the hospitals in 2 weeks. Ontario at its worst averaged 571 cases per day from April 18-24 with a 5.7% test positivity rate (that's just over the WHO's 5% threshold for keeping schools open). And Ontario's worst positivity rate over a 7-day period was 12.08% from April 5-11 on far less testing.
As things stand now, Ontario averages 138 new cases per day in the last 7 days (Aug 31-Sept 6) with a 0.52% test positivity rate. The liberals and teacher's union is losing their shit over anemic numbers just because our numbers are rising from far more anemic numbers.
Maybe Ontario will have a "second wave" re-opening the schools. But Doug Ford can always close schools again if hospitalizations are projected to ever get out of hand.
They've been engineering second waves everywhere with hypersensitive PCR tests that need 35 replication cycles (or more!) to discover trace fragments of viral DNA.
It's one giant effing con:
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/bronsonstocking/2020/08/29/it-looks-like-a-lot-of-those-positive-covid-tests-should-have-been-negative-n2575305
Hospitalizations did go up in the last 3 weeks in Ontario as you'd expect from the increase in cases and positivity rate. But it wasn't anything dramatic. They bottomed out at 32 in Ontario on August 17, "surged" to 66 on September 4th and it's now down to 52.
Ontarians over 70 make up only 6.76% of the active cases. That has something to do with the low hospitalization rate I'm sure. Over 60% of the active cases are people under 40. I'm surprised that very few old people are getting sick. You have to wonder how socially isolated the elderly are right now.