Yeah it was a tossup in 2019, Max's good name with the locals wasn't enough to carry him into a seat. I suspect it didn't help that he didn't campaign in his riding until the last week of the election. Local riding predictions are hard to be accurate anyways since polling is limited. There was polling for Beauce last time just because Max was in a toss up race and his seat had implications such as PPC winning a seat or not.