So O'toole's chances are dead in the water. The upcoming election is really about how much the opposition can limit Trudeau. Currently the data is showing NDP gaining seats, CPC losing seats. Trudeau is capitalizing off of the Green party collapsing too. Voters have had a year to get to know O'toole, and there's no data showing he's gained likeability. O'toole's best bet is Trudeau is so hated that he's limited to a minority again. O'toole has pissed off his western base, and can't seem to make gains in Ontario like he was advertised to do.
A strong NDP is a threat to the Liberals and not the Conservatives. The are electoral districts which would turn into Conservatives pickups if the NDP snatches a few % away from the Libs.
I agree, I mean O'toole's chances at winning a minority got to be slim even with an NDP rise. He's gained nothing in Quebec despite being a better french speaker than Scheer, so the Quebec ridings are going Lib or Bloc, we can hope the Bloc capitalize. The NDP's biggest problem is nobody over 50 is going to vote for them over Liberals. Older voters tend to be more realistic and strategic, so even if they like Singh more, they'll probably vote Trudeau over O'toole.
So O'toole's chances are dead in the water. The upcoming election is really about how much the opposition can limit Trudeau. Currently the data is showing NDP gaining seats, CPC losing seats. Trudeau is capitalizing off of the Green party collapsing too. Voters have had a year to get to know O'toole, and there's no data showing he's gained likeability. O'toole's best bet is Trudeau is so hated that he's limited to a minority again. O'toole has pissed off his western base, and can't seem to make gains in Ontario like he was advertised to do.
A strong NDP is a threat to the Liberals and not the Conservatives. The are electoral districts which would turn into Conservatives pickups if the NDP snatches a few % away from the Libs.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coquitlam%E2%80%94Port_Coquitlam
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fleetwood%E2%80%94Port_Kells
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winnipeg_South
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miramichi%E2%80%94Grand_Lake
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saint_John%E2%80%94Rothesay
There are dozens other similar examples.
I agree, I mean O'toole's chances at winning a minority got to be slim even with an NDP rise. He's gained nothing in Quebec despite being a better french speaker than Scheer, so the Quebec ridings are going Lib or Bloc, we can hope the Bloc capitalize. The NDP's biggest problem is nobody over 50 is going to vote for them over Liberals. Older voters tend to be more realistic and strategic, so even if they like Singh more, they'll probably vote Trudeau over O'toole.
If Mulcair was still NDP leader, the NDP would be a far more viable choice for older voters.
True but possibly less viable for younger voters. The youth seem to love Jagmeet.
Young people are the less likely group to vote. It's always a better strategy to go for the older voters.
O toole has chosen the I stand for nothing route which unsurprisingly doesn't stir up any passion for him.
Can we get Priti Patel?