Not in the polls they weren't. The pollsters had the CPC underwater just prior to the election. They underpolled by about 2.7%.
If whatever's behind that polling error is still in effect, then add about two and a half or three points to whatever the CPC is polling at the day before the election.
Also don't forget that Liberals are shitting their pants at the thought of having to go outside and interact with people, which is going to have a deleterious effect on voter turnout.
The pollsters had the CPC underwater just prior to the election.
???
Do you see what I see in the image you linked? This isn't what "underwater" is. Scheer was ahead in September and in October. And on election day they were dead even, with two pollster having the CPC in front and three others the LPC in front.
then add about two and a half or three points to whatever the CPC
The Liberals had also a polling error.
Also don't forget that Liberals are shitting their pants at the thought of having to go outside and interact with people, which is going to have a deleterious effect on voter turnout.
It doesn't. Look at the Nova Scotia election. In 2017 the Liberals got 158k votes. Now they got 153k votes. The NDP got even more votes and they should shit their pants even more according to your theory.
We both know that the CPC has not only to be like 5 points ahead, but the NDP has to poll over 20%. Otherwise say hello again to another 4 years of Trudope.
Do you see what I see in the image you linked? This isn't what "underwater" is.
Look at the column on the extreme right. Add up the blue ones. Then add up the red ones. Which is bigger? Blue or red? Spoiler: It's red, by three points.
So, those polls had (avg) the LPC ahead of the CPC by three points.
And the CPC actually finished 1.22 points ahead of the LPC.
So that's actually a total error 4.22 points (CPC underpolled).
It doesn't. Look at the Nova Scotia election. In 2017 the Liberals got 158k votes. Now they got 153k votes. The NDP got even more votes and they should shit their pants even more according to your theory.
So, we're using N.S as an analogy now? Ok, CPC majority it is!
We both know that the CPC has not only to be like 5 points ahead, but the NDP has to poll over 20%. Otherwise say hello again to another 4 years of Troupe.
Sounds like someone's been swallowing blackpills again.
Look at the column on the extreme right. Add up the blue ones. Then add up the red ones. Which is bigger?
Do you know what the definition of underwater is? A lead of 3% is still in the error range of every poll. Underwater would be double digits behind.
So, those polls had (avg) the LPC ahead of the CPC by three points.
The average of these five polls on election day was 32.1% for the LPC and 31.4% for the CPC. A .7% difference.
So, we're using N.S as an analogy now? Ok, CPC majority it is!
Do you just pretend to be retarded? I showed you that the turnout for Liberal voters barely went down while you proclaim they will shit their pants and stay at home. This will not happen on the scale you would like it to happen.
Sounds like someone's been swallowing blackpills again.
I will take solace and satisfaction that Trudeau will go down as a generally failed Prime Minister who got kicked out after his own power grab greed got the better of him. A legacy of blackface and prancing clownery.
They need more than being just slightly ahead. They were slightly ahead in 2019 and still got less seats. Wake me up if the GTA is in play.
Not in the polls they weren't. The pollsters had the CPC underwater just prior to the election. They underpolled by about 2.7%.
If whatever's behind that polling error is still in effect, then add about two and a half or three points to whatever the CPC is polling at the day before the election.
Also don't forget that Liberals are shitting their pants at the thought of having to go outside and interact with people, which is going to have a deleterious effect on voter turnout.
???
Do you see what I see in the image you linked? This isn't what "underwater" is. Scheer was ahead in September and in October. And on election day they were dead even, with two pollster having the CPC in front and three others the LPC in front.
https://imgur.com/40oXWee.png
The Liberals had also a polling error.
It doesn't. Look at the Nova Scotia election. In 2017 the Liberals got 158k votes. Now they got 153k votes. The NDP got even more votes and they should shit their pants even more according to your theory.
We both know that the CPC has not only to be like 5 points ahead, but the NDP has to poll over 20%. Otherwise say hello again to another 4 years of Trudope.
Look at the column on the extreme right. Add up the blue ones. Then add up the red ones. Which is bigger? Blue or red? Spoiler: It's red, by three points.
So, those polls had (avg) the LPC ahead of the CPC by three points. And the CPC actually finished 1.22 points ahead of the LPC. So that's actually a total error 4.22 points (CPC underpolled).
A fraction the size of the CPC's
So, we're using N.S as an analogy now? Ok, CPC majority it is!
Sounds like someone's been swallowing blackpills again.
Do you know what the definition of underwater is? A lead of 3% is still in the error range of every poll. Underwater would be double digits behind.
The average of these five polls on election day was 32.1% for the LPC and 31.4% for the CPC. A .7% difference.
Do you just pretend to be retarded? I showed you that the turnout for Liberal voters barely went down while you proclaim they will shit their pants and stay at home. This will not happen on the scale you would like it to happen.
Sponsored by the CPC carbon tax my friend.
I will take solace and satisfaction that Trudeau will go down as a generally failed Prime Minister who got kicked out after his own power grab greed got the better of him. A legacy of blackface and prancing clownery.