Okay here’s the scenario:
Let’s say PPC’s leader is mostly unknown before the election, but a well spoken. seemingly honest and somewhat likeable. There’s no real history of unsavoury candidates or scandals. A lot of people don’t agree with PPC, but they typically don’t hate them either.
Platform is the same.
What are they polling at?
I think about 20-30% of people are pretty pissed off at the handling of covid, especially feeling coercion/force from the vax passports and mandates. I also think a lot of people are very uncomfortable at where this is going for their children.
Union workers, teachers, nurses, city staff, large corporate types etc etc, they’re facing the hardest brunt of these mandates. They’re mostly left wing voters.
A lot of the conservative voters are likely more in entrepreneurial fields, farmers, or work at private smaller and medium companies, and the mandates don’t impact them as much.
We can see PPC is almost certainly a pressure valve for the people I’m describing by studying polling data.
Populist movements have made headlines over the last 5 years for their unexpected successes. I think those who try to put their thumb in the valve risk getting burned.