5.8 million voted in advanced polls. Compared to 4.9 million in the 2019 election.
(twitter.com)
ELXN44
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Mine was farther away and located in a small room. They were only allowing in a few people at a time so there was a long line up and wait outside. I'm assuming they consolidated several advanced polling locations so who knows how many people passed through on a given day. No problem for the voter, but what about the workers if they're so concerned about safety. Were they expecting everyone to stay home and mail in their votes?
Unusually high early turnout is a bad omen for the incumbent, but the covid thing complicates that significantly. A lot of that could be fearful Liberal voters trying to beat the crowds on election day.
Yeah, could be a good sign, or could just be a lot of covid cowards having the same idea.
Not really. A quick Google search and you will see that for the last six elections the number of early voters increased every time.
https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=rep/off/sta_2011&document=p2&lang=e
Your numbers are expressing higher advanced polling turnout when the incumbent loses (on top of a general increase over time).
https://i.imgur.com/qgTUx0C.png
And if not for the covid factor, the increase in advance polling turnout this year would indicate that Trudeau is about to get ass-blasted into outer space by the Conservatives.
The NS election was an omen I think.
It depends on how you plot it. If you look at the elections as single events without the time between it, then there is no pattern.
https://imgur.com/AUXK8fB.png
Only if you account for the time between the election, then yeah ...
The NS election didn't have the PPC running.
Last election nearly half of declared PPCers came to their senses at the ballot box.
https://i.imgur.com/0us64Ni.png