Polls were always wrong in the past for the Greens until maybe the last two elections. They would be at 5% or 6% and only end up with at most 2% of the vote. I suspect the same will be for the PPC, at most they'll get 3% and maybe cost the CPC one or two close ridings. If anything it's disillusioned Greens shifting support to the Liberals that will get Trudeau re-elected. Kinsella of course would never blame her, though, if it happens.
I found an article that suggests six ridings assuming that half of the PPC voters would have otherwise supported the CPC. Perhaps. But considering 65% of the country is left-leaning and the NDP essentially prevents us from having a perpetual Liberal regime, the CPC losing a few close ridings because of the PPC is not a big deal.
Polls were always wrong in the past for the Greens until maybe the last two elections. They would be at 5% or 6% and only end up with at most 2% of the vote. I suspect the same will be for the PPC, at most they'll get 3% and maybe cost the CPC one or two close ridings. If anything it's disillusioned Greens shifting support to the Liberals that will get Trudeau re-elected. Kinsella of course would never blame her, though, if it happens.
They got 1.6% last time. 8 seats went for the Liberals because of that.
I found an article that suggests six ridings assuming that half of the PPC voters would have otherwise supported the CPC. Perhaps. But considering 65% of the country is left-leaning and the NDP essentially prevents us from having a perpetual Liberal regime, the CPC losing a few close ridings because of the PPC is not a big deal.