PP is the heir apparent.
(twitter.com)
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If that's from the PC Association at the Ryserson University, then it doesn't matter that much. It's not the young folks hanging out on Twitter who will decide on who will be the next CPC leader. It's the old boomers with a CPC membership.
True, Ryerson PC Association is not representative. But University students are more likely to choose someone like jordan peterson, whereas boomers with the CPC membership would not. Take jordan peterson’s 12% and spread it amongst the rest proportionately and Polievre likely has even higher support.
If this were just a sample of twitter, I suspect Peterson would be on top.
It's a sample of the members of the PC Association at Ryerson. Some 18 to 20 year old students. These don't really matter because 18-20 year old students make up a negligible fraction of all CPC members.
Fair enough, but I still think PP is a clear frontrunner. I mean, who else even comes to mind?
I don't know. We don't even know if he intends to run. There could be also scenarios like Rempel vs. Poilievre battling it out in the West while MacKay is gobbling up points in the East and in the end winning it. Last time everyone said that MacKay will win it without a problem, but that wasn't the case. There can be always surprises with a ranked ballot system. And the CPC changes the rules at the last convention. Rural ridings with less than 100 voting CPC members have less weight this time.