PP is the heir apparent.
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It's a sample of the members of the PC Association at Ryerson. Some 18 to 20 year old students. These don't really matter because 18-20 year old students make up a negligible fraction of all CPC members.
Fair enough, but I still think PP is a clear frontrunner. I mean, who else even comes to mind?
I don't know. We don't even know if he intends to run. There could be also scenarios like Rempel vs. Poilievre battling it out in the West while MacKay is gobbling up points in the East and in the end winning it. Last time everyone said that MacKay will win it without a problem, but that wasn't the case. There can be always surprises with a ranked ballot system. And the CPC changes the rules at the last convention. Rural ridings with less than 100 voting CPC members have less weight this time.