“Trudeau Science” also known as: Vengeance and Retribution.
(media.omegacanada.win)
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At which point the case counts decoupled from the hospitalization and ICU bed counts, ceased to be an indicator for impact on the healthcare system, and became - as with the flu - largely meaningless for the purposes of planning.
But you go ahead and apply your random number rules to non-random events. They don't matter in the real world anyway,
Stats don’t go as expected, so they cease to be an indicator. Of course.
They cease to be an indicator when they cease to be an indicator. That would be when omicron arrived.
…Cease to be an indicator when the stats don’t say what you want them to say.
They cease to be an indicator when the required levels of precision for the forecasts can't be obtained.
At that point you don't waste time on them any more, and you switch to watching the hospital and ICU beds. Those testing numbers are still good.