He could take it in York Centre without a doubt.
You know who has the most Israel-friendly policies? The PPC who say put the fucking embassy in Jerusalem, recognize it and be done with the fucking issue already.
As far as the Flips go, being the only Catholic in the race plays in his favour and they tend to be quite patriotic when it comes to Canada.
The CPC ran an actress in the last election and even she gained ground on the Liberals, the NDP doesn't get a significant number of votes there and the LPC candidate will not be as strong as Levin so he has a pretty decent shot.
It's well worth the roll of the dice.