Toronto and Peel's data from the past 4 weeks shows that lockdown doesn't work. Yet they double down on lockdowns and suggest that the problem is that they didn't lock down hard enough and didn't lock down the surrounding regions. lol.
When cases finally go down in the spring when the weather gets warmer, they're going to be like "see it's the lockdowns that did it!" When really coronavirus is just a seasonal virus.
The exception to the rule is when coronavirus entered the American South over the summer. And I think that was only because there wasn't sufficient immunity built up among the population in the spring like there was in the North-East (ie. New York, New Jersey).
Sweden had very lax restrictions up until November/December and cases and deaths went down considerably in Sweden over the summer even though they didn't have mask mandates or a real lockdown. And then cases and deaths went back up to some extent in the fall in Sweden. So I don't think the seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 can be denied. It is a fact that the 4 mild human coronaviruses that cause the common cold are seasonal. The genetic material of SARS-CoV-2 would have to deviate quite significantly from the other members of the coronavirus family for it to mutate into having significant heat resistance.
Toronto and Peel's data from the past 4 weeks shows that lockdown doesn't work.
Because it's not a lockdown. Schools are still open and anyone from Toronto, Peel or York can just drive to Guelph, Oshawa or Barrie if they want to eat out in a restaurant. Businesses outside of the lockdown and red zone are even increasing their hours to deal with increased customer traffic because everybody from Toronto, Peel and York is coming.
Lockdowns work if they do them for a whole region. It worked in Poland (down from over 30k cases a day to less than 5k), it worked in Israel (from 9k a day down to around 200), it worked in Austria (down from almost 10k to 2k) and so on. But these countries had real lodckdowns (all schools closed, only essential businesses open) and not the patchwork lockdown like Ontario is currently experimenting with. Get in your car, drive for 20 min and you're in a yellow or green area.
Yeah my prediction is that they will lift lockdown in the spring (and it probably won't be a full re-opening. We'll still have mask mandates, social distancing, capacity limits). And then re-impose it in the fall when coronaviruses and influenzas rise again.
Toronto and Peel's data from the past 4 weeks shows that lockdown doesn't work. Yet they double down on lockdowns and suggest that the problem is that they didn't lock down hard enough and didn't lock down the surrounding regions. lol.
When cases finally go down in the spring when the weather gets warmer, they're going to be like "see it's the lockdowns that did it!" When really coronavirus is just a seasonal virus.
The exception to the rule is when coronavirus entered the American South over the summer. And I think that was only because there wasn't sufficient immunity built up among the population in the spring like there was in the North-East (ie. New York, New Jersey).
Sweden had very lax restrictions up until November/December and cases and deaths went down considerably in Sweden over the summer even though they didn't have mask mandates or a real lockdown. And then cases and deaths went back up to some extent in the fall in Sweden. So I don't think the seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 can be denied. It is a fact that the 4 mild human coronaviruses that cause the common cold are seasonal. The genetic material of SARS-CoV-2 would have to deviate quite significantly from the other members of the coronavirus family for it to mutate into having significant heat resistance.
Because it's not a lockdown. Schools are still open and anyone from Toronto, Peel or York can just drive to Guelph, Oshawa or Barrie if they want to eat out in a restaurant. Businesses outside of the lockdown and red zone are even increasing their hours to deal with increased customer traffic because everybody from Toronto, Peel and York is coming.
https://www.blogto.com/fashion_style/2020/12/hamilton-mall-extends-hours-shoppers-york-region-toronto/
Lockdowns work if they do them for a whole region. It worked in Poland (down from over 30k cases a day to less than 5k), it worked in Israel (from 9k a day down to around 200), it worked in Austria (down from almost 10k to 2k) and so on. But these countries had real lodckdowns (all schools closed, only essential businesses open) and not the patchwork lockdown like Ontario is currently experimenting with. Get in your car, drive for 20 min and you're in a yellow or green area.
Yeah my prediction is that they will lift lockdown in the spring (and it probably won't be a full re-opening. We'll still have mask mandates, social distancing, capacity limits). And then re-impose it in the fall when coronaviruses and influenzas rise again.