Nearly 50 per cent of Canadians say they can’t afford meat
(ipolitics.ca)
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Are we talking localised crop failures or global record crop failures in average?
Because the global average main crop tonnage has increased from aboit 1.5Bn tonnes in ‘88 to about 3bn today.
Re droughts and storms. Relatively little now. Tree ring data going back to the 12th century show droughts back then to be way worse than the piffling amounts now. ( ref Tree-ring reconstructed megadroughts over North America since A.D. 1300 Stahl et al 2007) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-006-9171-x )
And you will stake your reputation as an expert in the field on the prediction that going forward climate change will not disrupt this steady increase.
When there were less than half a million humans on the planet, as opposed to almost 8 billion, most of whom depend on food from far away. You would argue that there is no chance of that production & supply chain being affected by unreliable weather.
Weather has always been unreliable. Meteorologists can barely predict 2 weeks out let alone 20 years. Averages year over year? Sure.
But not Not I, as an expert. Just relaying what the data is. Weather or ‘climate’ related deaths (storms, floods, droughts, wildfires etc’ have fallen by 99% since 1920. Here: OFDA/CRED international disaster database- https://www.humanprogress.org/the-collapse-of-climate-related-deaths-2/
Re crop failures. Assuming that ‘global warming’ has been going on since the 1800s- the industrial Revolution and increasing generation of c02 - climate change will not disrupt this steady increase, if it is, it’s doing a bad job, let’s go back to US corn production records to 1866. 20 bushels an acre. Now? About 170bu/acre. Flat production until about 1940 then co2 generation rising to 10bn tons today from 1bn back in 1940.
Correlation doesn’t equal causation of course, but hey… plants do love some co2 to eat, more co2 means faster crop growth. Is some of this due to better Agro tech and machinery? Sure. All of it? You decide folks. Even if it was, bumper crops are outpacing anu failures.