So covid19 models aren't supposed to accurately predict anything?
(media.omegacanada.win)
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Read this part again:
"They do not predict the future because they inspire changes to behaviour or policy that prevents that outcome."
Keep in mind, they modelled full lockdowns in the past, and those numbers were bullshit.
This fascist is just gaslighting you and you’re drinking it up.
Wasn't there a model for Saskatchewan that had something like 35,000 Covid deaths on it and in reality it was well under 100?
Quite possible. Anyone who knows anything about modelling can tell you that in most situations, the preparers pick the answer they want, and then choose the inputs/assumptions they need to get to their answer.
That’s why you need to back-test models. Back-testing is checking to see, using foresight, whether the models actually predicted anything.
Modelling is the new Tarot card reading or astrology being purported by snake-oil salesmen wearing lab coats.
What? Modeling didn't work because we till have covid?
Don't forget OP's quote: "People mistake models (for) crystal balls."
Are you really this stupid?
Hard to say, but it looks like maybe I can read and understand better than you.
Doesn't seem like it.